Saturday, 16 May 2020

Plumbers and disloyal mothers; David Ford says..


"For the last 5-6 weeks I have mostly been out of markets and just watching and waiting for something to make sense fundamentally and technically as intraday currency volatility and direction did not marry up with my initial expectations. TBH I had been waiting for another down leg in equity and spike in the USD as the Global economy proceeded to unwind. Last week however, it became obvious that the rate of change in political polarisation has stepped up another gear in advance of the US election. This time we have Liberty Proponents, COVID Skeptics & Anti Vaxers coalescing and Redpilling even more people as Leftist Democrats attempt a further divide and conquer of the sleeping populace in light of the lost employment and crashed economy. It dawned on me that this political war is about to go very mainstream - and already we are seeing massive protests around state capitals everywhere all over the globe. People that are awake (and those on the fence that realise that their freedom has been snatched) are getting very antsy. Eventually this is going to escalate into violence and a breakdown in trust of law enforcement. You don't need to be a PHD to realise that the focus of these Globalist efforts is to solely capture the imagination of sheep in the US in advance of the November election to turn people against the Government (Trump) for supposed mishandling of the Virus response. This implies instability. Unfortunately Trump is willingly handing destructive control back to Blue State Governors on reopening - hoping that everyone will blame them rather than him, but this is a flawed strategy IMO. This will only exacerbate the political conflict, the morbidity stats, and the grassroots rebellion. This is transforming into a tinderbox of civil unrest in my opinion that will greatly harm the international perception of the USD in the coming 6 months. It is this Republican Vs Communist conflict on Domestic US soil in advance of this coming election that will commence the killing of confidence in Public US Assets. This implies that US equity will rise to new highs before and following the election with the USD suffering also as funds seek home currencies to primarily de-leverage their exposure across the board. Although it sounds counterintuitive, I'm inclined to like everything long against the USD." DF mindset



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